Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.000975 0.001009 0.001044 0.001082 0.001122 0.001163 0.001210
2025-09-07 0.000911 0.000961 0.001014 0.001073 0.001138 0.001208 0.001289
2025-09-14 0.000855 0.000916 0.000981 0.001057 0.001143 0.001239 0.001353
2025-09-21 0.000809 0.000877 0.000952 0.001041 0.001144 0.001262 0.001407
2025-09-28 0.000775 0.000849 0.000932 0.001032 0.001152 0.001291 0.001469
2025-10-05 0.000732 0.000808 0.000895 0.001001 0.001129 0.001283 0.001483
2025-10-12 0.000707 0.000787 0.000879 0.000993 0.001134 0.001305 0.001535
2025-10-19 0.000690 0.000773 0.000870 0.000993 0.001148 0.001339 0.001603
2025-10-26 0.000670 0.000755 0.000856 0.000985 0.001150 0.001358 0.001651
2025-11-02 0.000656 0.000745 0.000850 0.000986 0.001163 0.001391 0.001720
2025-11-09 0.000640 0.000730 0.000838 0.000980 0.001166 0.001409 0.001768
2025-11-16 0.000622 0.000713 0.000822 0.000968 0.001160 0.001416 0.001801
2025-11-23 0.000617 0.000711 0.000826 0.000980 0.001188 0.001471 0.001906
2025-11-30 0.000607 0.000703 0.000822 0.000983 0.001203 0.001508 0.001990
2025-12-07 0.000593 0.000690 0.000810 0.000975 0.001203 0.001523 0.002039
2025-12-14 0.000578 0.000675 0.000796 0.000963 0.001196 0.001528 0.002075
2025-12-21 0.000567 0.000664 0.000787 0.000957 0.001198 0.001545 0.002128
2025-12-28 0.000547 0.000642 0.000762 0.000930 0.001168 0.001513 0.002099
2026-01-04 0.000537 0.000632 0.000753 0.000923 0.001167 0.001526 0.002145
2026-01-11 0.000530 0.000626 0.000749 0.000924 0.001177 0.001554 0.002221
2026-01-18 0.000520 0.000617 0.000740 0.000916 0.001174 0.001564 0.002264
2026-01-25 0.000514 0.000612 0.000737 0.000918 0.001185 0.001594 0.002345
2026-02-01 0.000506 0.000603 0.000729 0.000912 0.001184 0.001606 0.002394